Re: Dinosaur killer probability

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Bruce Schneier (schneier@counterpane.com)
Thu, 29 Oct 1998 13:15:29 -0600


At 06:20 PM 10/29/98 +0000, lcs Mixmaster Remailer wrote:
>What is the probability that a comet or asteroid similar in size to
>that which caused the extinction of the dinosaurs will hit in the next
>few months?

Someone should look up the frequency of dinosaur-killing-sized
asteroids--one per n years--but the equation would be

        1 in 12n/m, where m is the number of months in a "few."

Isn't n around 100,000?

Bruce
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The following archive was created by hippie-mail 7.98617-22 on Sat Apr 10 1999 - 01:15:23